UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

If this is a Kickboxing fight then your giving Reed a solid chance to win. 

Almeida vs. Turkalj
Jailton Almeida, TKO, R1
Ground and pound tko rd1, Almeida physically stronger

Chimaev vs. Diaz
Khamzat Chimaev, TKO, R2
Good lord. Diaz is about to get steamrolled, but I wonder what Chimaev's next move will be, given that Edwards vs Usman 3 will likely be happening next year.

Li vs. Ferguson
Jingliang Li, TKO, R1
I expect Tony to be able to somewhat trouble Li early on in the fight (although this is now a question mark after having been knocked out cold 4 months ago), but once Li lets those hands fly, it's a wrap on Tony.

Holland vs. Rodriguez
Daniel Rodriguez, DEC
Rodriguez is massively underrated, and I haven't been too impressed with Kevin Holland recently. D-Rod is a crafty striker, so this should be fireworks.

Aldana vs. Chiasson
Irene Aldana, DEC
Haven't seen Aldana fight in forever, seems like she's wasting her time playing The Division and playing with her cats. I want to see one attempt at a title run please before it's too late.

Almeida vs. Turkalj
Anton Turkalj, DEC
They really let this fool in the UFC after berating his performance? Someone remind him that it's 3 rounds this time and hopefully he does something else than humps a leg.

Collier vs. Barnett
Chris Barnett, TKO, R1
Barnett by Tornado kick KO

Dumont vs. Wolf
Norma Dumont, DEC
hahaha Dumont being trashed hard after losing that split

Reed vs. Martinez
Melissa Martinez, DEC
Reed only has a chance against women looking women in the UFC without a lot of skill. too much testosterone or speed and she's done.

SplitDecision3027 if I remember correctly Dumont has a very rangy style that would be a good matchup for her.

Honesly they’re no lock in WMMA, they’re all equally ****

Dumont losing to Chaisson doesn't make me anymore confident in picking her, Wolf can actually box somewhat well.

Weeks vs. Lainesse
Darian Weeks, TKO, R2
I'm taking Weeks. Yeah he didn't look all that great in the Garry fight but the fight before that was awfully close against Barbarena and he showed he has skills on the ground and standing up. Lainesse got tore up by Gabe ******* Green last fight and I just don't see the confidence you all have in him.

Reed vs. Martinez
Melissa Martinez, TKO, R1
Elise has had her moments so far in UFC, although I still believe that she lost the SD to Cory McKenna but that's besides the point. Melissa Martinez is downright brutal. And I think she introduces herself to the UFC with a first round blast in this one.

Anheliger vs. Alateng
Chad Anheliger, TKO, R3
Well the odds this card starts with three KOs in a row are slim I know but the fighters make the prediction and all of these fights to me just seem like they're gonna be bangers. I've been highly impressed with Anhelinger but he's prone to the ground game and Alateng isn't no slouch.. this could go either way.

Li vs. Ferguson
Jingliang Li, TKO, R1
RHIP TONY

dumont has the leg kicks to end the fight imo

but the reason its 3-1 is because its a 40 year old 1-0 who is 1 dimensional

Li vs. Ferguson
Jingliang Li, TKO, R2
Left hook, right cross - ghost club.

Yeah I was gonna say Dumont is a massive favorite because she's fighting a 38 year old boxer with basically no MMA experience. It's not because she's got talent, because she doesn't. She didn't even make weight in her last fight. 

Can you imagine if Tony and Nate both somehow won on this card? Would be absolutely insane. As much as I want to pull for Nate, I just don't see it outside of him styling on Khamzat from bottom and locking in an insane submission. Nate probably avoids getting finished but leaves a bloodied, beaten mess as usual.

Tony on the other hand I think has a legit shot. He crushed Chandler with one of the shots he landed and now isn't dealing with a weight cut. He's also going to have almost 5 inches on the Leech which is very notable because everyone just watched him finish Salikhov. Yes, Salikhov is getting up there but to finish a known striker like him the way the Leech did was very impressive.

However, the Leech had almost 3 inches of reach on Salikhov. Big difference going from having 3 inches on somebody to fighting someone with almost 5 inches on you. Tony also has to seriously be considering retirement if he can't get this done. 

This statement might seem like a stretch, but when you look at Tony's current losing streak, this might be the most winnable fight he's had in years (that doesn't mean this fight will be easy by any stretch). He's going from top 5 lightweights to a borderline ranked welterweight who he'll have a nice amount of reach over and a better tank to fight against. Gonna flip flop on this one probably all week, but I think Tony is live. 

Chimaev vs. Diaz
Khamzat Chimaev, TKO, R2
This is one of the worst ppv cards top to bottom I've ever seen. Maybe it'll be a fun card but the talent level is low on this card. I'm a loser so I'll still buy it 🤡. Chimaev is way too big and way too good of a grappler. Diaz stands 0 chance idc how good his cardio and durability is

Li vs. Ferguson
Jingliang Li, TKO, R1
Rip Tony. They couldn't have given him anyone else?

Holland vs. Rodriguez
Daniel Rodriguez, DEC
Probably the best fight on the card I'm going with D-rod. Hes always game and Holland seems to lose focus sometimes

Aldana vs. Chiasson
Irene Aldana, DEC
If chiasson holds Aldana against the cage all fight I'll kill myself

Walker vs. Cutelaba
Ion Cutelaba, TKO, R1
Walker would get ko'd by a women's straw weight.

Dawodu vs. Erosa
Julian Erosa, SUB, R3
Hakeem "split decision" Dawodu got hurt and subbed by Danny Henry I think erosa can do the same he always fights to the level of his competition good or bad

Almeida vs. Turkalj
Jailton Almeida, SUB, R2
Almeida is a monster. Turkalj fights like a *****

Pickett vs. Tiuliulin
Denis Tiuliulin, TKO, R1
Pickett is trash. Tiuliulin looked decent against khizriev

Collier vs. Barnett
Jake Collier, TKO, R3
Barnett is trash collier has good boxing

Dumont vs. Wolf
Norma Dumont, DEC
Wolf is 40 with 1 mma fight

Anheliger vs. Alateng
Chad Anheliger, DEC
Anheliger is pretty well rounded

Reed vs. Martinez
Melissa Martinez, DEC
Elise Reed is weak sauce

Weeks vs. Lainesse
Darian Weeks, TKO, R3
Lainesse has one round cardio Weeks two ufc losses are against good competition

* Edited at 09.04.2022, 9:29 AM ET *

and wolf is like 30-14 as a pro boxer. so theres that

It would be sweet if Diaz and Ferguson both pulled off upsets. I wouldn’t put to much stock in reach though, seems they are inconsistent in the UFC. 

* Edited at 09.04.2022, 9:39 AM ET *